TRX Price Prediction: Can the Bullish Momentum Push Toward $1?

• Technical Outlook: TRX shows bullish MACD divergence but faces resistance at upper Bollinger Band (0.2776)
• Fundamental Drivers: AEON integration and zero-fee trading provide utility growth amid regulatory tailwinds
• Price Target: $1 would require 4x growth from current levels, dependent on broader altcoin market conditions

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Emerge Amid Market Volatility

TRX is currently trading at 0.2739 USDT, slightly above its 20-day moving average (0.2710), indicating a potential bullish crossover. The MACD histogram shows a positive divergence (0.002088), suggesting weakening bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands reveal price hovering NEAR the upper band (0.27762), signaling increased buying pressure. 'TRX demonstrates technical resilience,' says BTCC analyst Olivia. 'A sustained break above 0.2776 could trigger further upside toward 0.30 resistance.'

Mixed Sentiment Surrounds TRX as Network Growth Offsets Bearish Indicators

While AEON's TRON integration and Justin Sun's political visibility provide fundamental support, market sentiment remains cautious. 'The zero-fee trading initiative and stablecoin dominance are bullish catalysts,' notes BTCC's Olivia, 'but TRX faces technical resistance at 0.2750-0.2776 that must be decisively broken.' Futures activity suggests institutional accumulation, though bearish reversal risks persist amid broader market weakness.

Factors Influencing TRX's Price

AEON Integrates TRON Network to Enable Seamless In-Store Payments

AEON, a next-generation crypto payment framework, has integrated the TRON network to facilitate offline transactions using TRX, USDT, and USDD. This move aims to bridge the gap between digital assets and everyday retail experiences, leveraging TRON's high throughput and low fees.

The integration unlocks payments at approximately 10,000 brands and 20 million merchants across Southeast Asia, with plans to expand into Africa and Latin America. TRON's $77B+ stablecoin circulation provides a robust foundation for global adoption.

"TRON's community recognizes blockchain's potential for fast, affordable, and reliable transactions," said AEON CEO Eddie Li. The partnership significantly enhances the utility of TRON-based assets in physical commerce.

Toobit Introduces Zero-Fee Trading for USDC Spot Pairs

Toobit, a globally recognized digital asset exchange, is rolling out a limited-time zero-fee trading promotion for all USDC spot pairs starting June 5, 2025. The initiative eliminates both maker and taker fees, allowing traders to retain more of their profits.

The promotion covers major pairs including BTC/USDC, ETH/USDC, and SOL/USDC, among others. "This move aligns with our mission to enhance trading accessibility and efficiency," said Mike Williams, Toobit's Chief Communication Officer.

Unlike standard exchange models where liquidity providers and takers incur separate charges, Toobit's temporary fee waiver creates a cost-free environment for all spot trades involving USDC pairs. The absence of transaction costs enables traders to execute strategies with improved capital efficiency.

Crypto Market Retreats After Brief Rally, Sentiment Turns Bearish

The cryptocurrency market has reversed its short-lived gains, with nearly all top 100 coins registering losses over the past 24 hours. Market capitalization dipped 3% to $3.41 trillion as trading volumes remained subdued at $89 billion.

Bitcoin's price action shows declining volatility, with analysts suggesting any rally would likely stall below $110,000. Ethereum mirrored the downturn, erasing its daily gains to trade at $2,614. TRON emerged as the sole outlier among major assets, climbing 1.7% to $0.2731.

Institutional flows present a mixed picture—U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded two consecutive days of inflows while Ethereum products extended their streak to thirteen days. Only five tokens in the top 100 managed positive returns, with TRON and OKB leading the narrow field of gainers.

TRON Faces Bearish Reversal Risk as TRX Struggles to Break Key Resistance

TRON's TRX token shows signs of weakening momentum after failing to sustain breaks above the critical $0.274 level. The cryptocurrency retraced to $0.266 support twice in recent weeks, with on-chain data revealing increased spot selling pressure that often precedes trend reversals.

The $0.22-$0.275 trading range remains decisive, with the mid-range point at $0.2475 serving as a historical pivot. Market participants note striking similarities to April's consolidation pattern before its eventual breakout, though current On-Balance Volume (OBV) trends suggest weaker conviction this time.

All eyes remain on Bitcoin's $102K support level - a breach could accelerate TRX's downside. The 90-day Spot Taker Trading Volume metric has flipped bearish, indicating growing sell-side dominance among spot traders.

Altseason Heats Up: TRON and Cardano Emerge as Breakout Candidates

Market rotation is favoring mid-cap altcoins as large-caps lose momentum. Cardano [ADA] and TRON [TRX] are attracting trader interest with bullish on-chain signals and rising short interest positions, positioning themselves for potential rallies.

TRON's SOPR hovering at the critical 1.0 threshold suggests impending volatility, while ADA's strong fundamentals make it a high-conviction play. This shift comes as Bitcoin remains range-bound, pushing selective capital toward assets with clearer breakout potential.

The altcoin market's hunger for momentum has turned attention to these second-tier performers. TRX's historical price action around its current SOPR level indicates possible trend reversals, adding fuel to the breakout narrative.

Tron (TRX) Demonstrates Resilience with Declining Risk Metrics Amid Market Volatility

Tron's TRX has emerged as a standout performer during recent market turbulence, maintaining a stable price above $0.26 for over two weeks. This stability contrasts sharply with broader cryptocurrency market fluctuations, underscoring TRX's growing independence from systemic risks.

Key risk indicators tell a compelling story. Tron's Value at Risk (VaR) has plummeted in recent months, signaling reduced downside potential at a 95% confidence level. Simultaneously, TRX's rolling Beta against Bitcoin has declined markedly, indicating decoupling from BTC's price movements. These metrics suggest TRX is evolving into a more mature asset with distinct market behavior.

The convergence of price recovery with improved risk profile positions Tron uniquely among major cryptocurrencies. 'This powerful combination of appreciation and stability makes TRX increasingly attractive to investors,' analysts note, highlighting its potential as a hedge against market volatility.

Analyst Explains Reason Behind Tron Price Sluggishness — Are TRX Bears Now In Control?

Tron's price recovery since mid-March has been steady, climbing nearly every week alongside improving crypto market sentiment. By May, TRX reached a local high above $0.28, reflecting stable bullish momentum.

Recent data suggests a shift. Over the past week, Tron faced significant resistance, signaling a potential resurgence of bearish sentiment in the altcoin market. On-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci attributes this dip—up to 5.48% in 48 hours—to Spot Taker CVD (90-Day) metrics, which reveal rising sell pressure.

Cumulative Volume Delta tracks the net difference between market buys and sells. A declining CVD indicates dominant selling activity, a trend now evident in TRX. Kesmeci's analysis underscores how shifting volume dynamics can abruptly alter price trajectories, even amid broader market optimism.

Tron (TRX) Futures Activity Suggests Continued Bullish Momentum Amid Market Volatility

Tron (TRX) has weathered a choppy week with a 2.10% price dip, yet maintains a 17.39% monthly gain amid broader crypto market euphoria. Analyst Burak Kesmeci highlights a critical pattern in futures retail activity, suggesting TRX remains primed for upward movement.

Historical data reveals TRX peaked at $0.45 in December 2024 during peak retail speculation, followed by a correction to $0.21 in Q1 2025 as participation waned. The current rebound to $0.27 occurs against neutral retail positioning—a divergence Kesmeci interprets as accumulation potential before the next leg up.

CryptoQuant charts underscore this thesis, with sparse gray dots indicating subdued retail futures activity despite rising prices. The disconnect mirrors December’s pre-rally conditions, though without the overheated leverage that preceded the correction. Market structure now favors organic growth.

Regulatory Clarity Boosts Crypto Market Sentiment as Qubetics Presale Gains Momentum

The U.S. House of Representatives introduced the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, a bipartisan effort to resolve regulatory uncertainty in the crypto sector. The bill delineates SEC and CFTC jurisdiction while affirming Ripple's legal precedent that secondary crypto sales may not constitute securities. This legislative progress has injected fresh optimism into digital asset markets.

Qubetics ($TICS) emerges as a standout performer, with its presale attracting significant attention. The project's focus on global financial accessibility positions it as a prime candidate for investors seeking exposure to infrastructure plays amid improving regulatory conditions.

Market reactions show TRON (TRX) maintaining correlation with Bitcoin's price movements, while OKB demonstrates resilience as the utility token powering the OKX ecosystem. Regulatory clarity appears to be catalyzing reevaluations of asset valuations across the sector.

TRON Maintains Stablecoin Dominance Amid Mixed User Metrics

TRON [TRX] continues to lead stablecoin settlements, with USDT transfer volumes consistently exceeding $500 billion monthly since November 2024. The network's 'Gas Free' feature—allowing transaction fees to be paid in USDT rather than TRX—has significantly boosted user adoption. TRX recently surpassed 10 billion total transactions, supported by over 8 million daily transactions since February.

On-chain activity remains robust, but address metrics reveal divergence. New wallets grew 1.53% this week while active addresses declined 0.76%, suggesting intermittent user engagement. Despite this, TRX's price recovery above $0.26 reflects enduring confidence in the network's fundamentals.

Whale accumulation increased 0.79%, signaling growing institutional interest. The combination of bullish futures positioning and stable DeFi TVL reinforces TRX's upward trajectory, even as minor corrections occur.

Justin Sun’s Trump Jr. Photo-Op Fuels TRX Rally—Political Clout Boosts Crypto Sentiment

Tron’s TRX token surged 3% overnight on May 29, 2025, following a high-profile handshake between founder Justin Sun and Donald Trump Jr. at the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas. The encounter ignited speculation about the Trump family’s deepening ties to crypto, with Trump Jr. declaring his focus on digital assets post-politics.

TRON’s regulatory challenges in the U.S. may find relief as Trump allies advocate for pro-crypto policies, including a national bitcoin reserve and stablecoin deregulation. Meanwhile, TRX’s fundamentals strengthen: over $73.8 billion in Tether (USDT) now resides on TRON’s network, with $16 billion minted this year alone. A May 28 mainnet upgrade further solidifies its position as a stablecoin payments leader.

Will TRX Price Hit 1?

Based on current technicals and network developments, TRX would require a 265% rally from current levels to reach $1. Key factors to monitor:

'While possible in a speculative bull market,' says BTCC's Olivia, 'TRX would need sustained institutional adoption and major exchange listings to approach $1 in 2025.'

HTML table included in answer